Peñaraval vs Sax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.5%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
68%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñaraval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
MON
3 - 0
PRV
80%
13%
7%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
UDL
2 - 2
PRV
39%
22%
39%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
PRV
2 - 0
SPD
55%
20%
25%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ELD
1 - 0
PRV
87%
8%
5%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
PRV
1 - 2
RAF
33%
22%
45%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
UDF
4 - 1
UDL
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
SPD
1 - 3
UDF
9%
14%
77%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
UDF
1 - 0
ELD
36%
21%
42%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
RAF
2 - 1
UDF
30%
22%
48%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
UDF
1 - 1
MON
26%
21%
53%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |