Penapolense vs Rio Branco SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
PEN
3 - 1
PAU
47%
26%
28%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
PAU
2 - 2
PEN
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
RIO
1 - 0
PEN
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 0
NAC
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 1
CAT
68%
20%
12%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Branco SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 1
RIO
37%
26%
38%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
RIO
2 - 1
NAC
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
RIO
1 - 0
PEN
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
PAU
3 - 1
RIO
37%
26%
38%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
XVD
0 - 0
RIO
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |