Penapolense vs Inter de Limeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
GRE
5 - 1
PEN
35%
25%
41%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
PEN
3 - 1
ECN
41%
24%
35%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
PEN
3 - 0
BAN
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2009 |
XVD
2 - 0
PEN
66%
19%
15%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
PEN
1 - 2
GRÊ
21%
22%
56%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Inter de Limeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
BAN
1 - 1
INT
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
INT
0 - 2
OLI
43%
24%
33%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
INT
1 - 2
ITA
44%
24%
31%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
ECN
2 - 0
INT
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
INT
1 - 1
GRE
62%
21%
18%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |