Penapolense vs Catanduvense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
14%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
11.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
RIO
0 - 1
PEN
30%
26%
44%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 3
LIN
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
MIR
3 - 1
PEN
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
CAT
0 - 3
PEN
24%
26%
50%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
PEN
3 - 0
RIO
54%
25%
22%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Catanduvense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
CAT
0 - 4
LIN
19%
25%
56%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
MIR
3 - 0
CAT
76%
16%
8%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
CAT
0 - 2
RIO
35%
26%
38%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
CAT
0 - 3
PEN
24%
26%
50%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
LIN
1 - 0
CAT
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |