Penapolense vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
53.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
PEN
4 - 1
SAN
10%
21%
68%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
PAU
1 - 2
PEN
38%
27%
36%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
PEN
1 - 0
SAO
33%
27%
40%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
PEN
2 - 1
MOG
28%
26%
46%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
PAL
1 - 0
PEN
79%
16%
5%
|
55 | 80 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 0
POR
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
POR
4 - 0
LIN
74%
18%
9%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 3
POR
24%
24%
53%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
AUD
4 - 2
POR
32%
26%
42%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
POR
1 - 2
BOT
74%
18%
8%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | -1 |