Penafiel vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.9%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
25.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
BEL
2 - 0
PEN
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 1
BEN
39%
29%
33%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
NAV
1 - 0
PEN
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
BMA
0 - 0
PEN
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 0
BRA
55%
26%
19%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
UNM
1 - 1
LEX
51%
27%
22%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
EST
1 - 1
UNM
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
POR
0 - 0
UNM
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
PED
3 - 2
UNM
15%
20%
65%
|
61 | 34 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
UNM
1 - 1
AVE
40%
29%
31%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |