Penafiel vs UD Oliveirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
29.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
MAF
1 - 0
PEN
41%
27%
33%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 0
POR
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 2
FEI
33%
29%
38%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
VIZ
3 - 1
PEN
41%
26%
33%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 2
VAR
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
UD Oliveirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 0
OLI
27%
26%
47%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
OLI
2 - 2
VIL
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
POR
1 - 2
OLI
41%
26%
34%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
OLI
0 - 3
VIZ
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2021 |
OLI
1 - 1
VAR
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |