Penafiel vs Trofense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
18.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 0
PEN
54%
24%
21%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
BEN
1 - 0
PEN
64%
20%
16%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
PEN
4 - 3
VIL
49%
27%
25%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 0
ACV
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2021 |
POR
3 - 1
PEN
49%
25%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
TRO
2 - 2
POR
20%
25%
55%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
TRO
2 - 0
BEN
11%
20%
69%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | +2 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
ESA
2 - 0
TRO
61%
23%
16%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
TRO
1 - 3
VIL
31%
28%
41%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2021 |
ACA
1 - 1
TRO
63%
22%
15%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |