Penafiel vs Sporting Braga II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
28.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
POR
3 - 1
PEN
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
PEN
1 - 1
FAM
47%
28%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 1
PEN
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
PEN
0 - 1
OLI
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
PEN
0 - 1
MOR
23%
25%
53%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
BRA
0 - 2
SAN
56%
25%
20%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
ACA
2 - 0
BRA
47%
28%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
BRA
1 - 1
UNM
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
FAM
0 - 0
BRA
44%
25%
32%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
BRA
1 - 1
GFC
53%
23%
24%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |