Penafiel vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.5%
30.5%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.5%
32.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1990 |
BMA
0 - 0
PEN
45%
29%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1990 |
PEN
2 - 1
VIT
23%
32%
46%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1990 |
VST
3 - 1
PEN
65%
21%
15%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1990 |
PEN
1 - 0
BEL
23%
33%
44%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1990 |
EST
0 - 1
PEN
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1990 |
NAC
1 - 1
CHA
53%
26%
20%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1990 |
NAC
2 - 0
BMA
57%
25%
19%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1990 |
VIT
2 - 2
NAC
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1990 |
NAC
3 - 1
VST
48%
28%
24%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1990 |
BEL
1 - 0
NAC
64%
22%
15%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |