Penafiel vs Gil Vicente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
19.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 2
PAÇ
29%
25%
47%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 3
SPB
17%
23%
60%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
MOR
2 - 3
PEN
7%
14%
79%
|
62 | 37 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
NAC
2 - 1
PEN
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
PEN
2 - 1
MAF
52%
26%
23%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 0
GFC
70%
20%
10%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
GFC
1 - 2
POR
16%
20%
64%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
GFC
0 - 0
BOA
13%
26%
61%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
SLB
2 - 0
GFC
91%
7%
2%
|
54 | 87 | 33 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
GFC
1 - 1
LEX
31%
25%
44%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |