Penafiel vs Feirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
33.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
SCF
1 - 3
PEN
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CAS
0 - 1
PEN
27%
23%
50%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 1
TRO
37%
28%
36%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
SPC
0 - 1
PEN
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
PEN
0 - 3
ARO
38%
29%
34%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Feirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
FEI
0 - 0
AVE
38%
29%
33%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
FEI
2 - 0
PAD
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 35 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
FEI
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
FEI
0 - 0
NAV
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
LEX
1 - 0
FEI
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |