Penafiel vs Estrela da Amadora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
23.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 1
SCP
7%
15%
78%
|
60 | 87 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
FEI
1 - 2
PEN
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 0
ACA
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
VAR
0 - 2
PEN
30%
27%
43%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 3
POR
30%
25%
45%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Estrela da Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2021 |
ESA
1 - 0
CAS
32%
29%
40%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
NAC
4 - 1
ESA
55%
24%
20%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2021 |
ESA
3 - 6
BEN
29%
28%
44%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
VIZ
2 - 0
ESA
57%
21%
22%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 2
ESA
41%
27%
33%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |