Penafiel vs Casa Pia AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
22.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 1
BEN
40%
27%
34%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 1
PEN
23%
26%
51%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
ESA
0 - 1
PEN
22%
20%
58%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 1
MOR
22%
24%
55%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2021 |
FEI
0 - 1
PEN
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 0
POR
39%
26%
34%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
ACV
2 - 1
CAS
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 1
VIT
18%
23%
59%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
ACV
1 - 4
CAS
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 0
MAF
45%
24%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |