Penafiel vs Benfica II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
SPC
0 - 0
PEN
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
PEN
0 - 0
ACA
47%
28%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
PEN
0 - 2
GFC
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 2
PAÇ
29%
25%
47%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 3
SPB
17%
23%
60%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
BEN
1 - 3
CHA
31%
26%
44%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
BEN
1 - 0
NAC
26%
23%
51%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
ACA
1 - 0
BEN
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
LEX
1 - 0
BEN
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
BEN
0 - 0
ACV
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |