Segunda Liga . Jor. 13

Penafiel vs Académica analysis

Penafiel Académica
60 ELO 58
-10.1% Tilt 0.7%
2466º General ELO ranking 4020º
38º Country ELO ranking 60º
ELO win probability
47.9%
Penafiel
27.3%
Draw
24.8%
Académica

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
Penafiel
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
24.8%
Win probability
Académica
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Penafiel
-15%
+18%
Académica

ELO progression

Penafiel
Académica
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Penafiel
Penafiel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Nov. 2021
VAR
Varzim
0 - 2
Penafiel
PEN
30%
27%
43%
59 54 5 0
19 Nov. 2021
PEN
Penafiel
0 - 3
Portimonense
POR
30%
25%
45%
60 66 6 -1
07 Nov. 2021
PEN
Penafiel
1 - 1
Leixões
LEX
47%
27%
26%
60 58 2 0
01 Nov. 2021
FAR
Farense
2 - 2
Penafiel
PEN
46%
27%
27%
59 61 2 +1
23 Oct. 2021
PEN
Penafiel
1 - 1
Rio Ave
RIO
18%
25%
57%
59 73 14 0

Matches

Académica
Académica
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Nov. 2021
ACA
Académica
3 - 0
SC Covilha
SPC
46%
27%
27%
56 57 1 0
21 Nov. 2021
ACA
Académica
1 - 2
Porto II
POR
41%
27%
32%
57 58 1 -1
06 Nov. 2021
CAS
Casa Pia AC
2 - 0
Académica
ACA
53%
25%
22%
58 60 2 -1
01 Nov. 2021
ACA
Académica
1 - 2
Nacional
NAC
42%
26%
33%
58 58 0 0
23 Oct. 2021
BEN
Benfica II
3 - 1
Académica
ACA
61%
22%
17%
59 62 3 -1
X