Peña Revilla SD vs Rayo Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
37.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Revilla SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ESC
0 - 1
PRE
58%
20%
22%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
SSD
1 - 0
PRE
40%
23%
37%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
PRE
1 - 2
ERO
45%
22%
33%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
VIM
4 - 2
PRE
34%
25%
41%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
PRE
1 - 0
TES
86%
9%
4%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
RSC
2 - 0
SSD
57%
20%
23%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ERO
0 - 1
RSC
61%
19%
20%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
RSC
1 - 2
VIM
53%
23%
24%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
TES
0 - 4
RSC
15%
18%
67%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
RSC
4 - 0
MDP
52%
22%
26%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |