Peña Revilla SD vs Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
50%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Revilla SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
NOJ
2 - 1
PRE
40%
24%
36%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
PRE
0 - 1
ATM
24%
21%
55%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
VLE
3 - 0
PRE
28%
23%
49%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
PRE
2 - 3
AYR
66%
19%
15%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
RAM
4 - 1
PRE
31%
23%
46%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
CAY
0 - 3
CAS
20%
22%
58%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 2
NOJ
65%
20%
15%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
ATM
3 - 1
CAS
56%
20%
23%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
CAS
4 - 0
VLE
62%
21%
17%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
AYR
1 - 2
CAS
26%
24%
50%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |