Peña Ferranca vs UD Montecarlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
18.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Ferranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
PEN
3 - 1
SIE
20%
22%
58%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
SAN
5 - 2
PEN
58%
21%
21%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
PEN
4 - 0
CDM
56%
22%
23%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
ADT
4 - 0
PEN
60%
22%
18%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 1
PEN
17%
21%
62%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
UD Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
RSD
6 - 1
UDM
23%
23%
54%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
UDM
1 - 4
MAL
57%
21%
22%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
UDM
1 - 3
UDS
24%
23%
53%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
CFV
1 - 1
UDM
57%
22%
22%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
UDM
0 - 3
SAA
18%
21%
61%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |