Pembroke Athleta FC vs Marsaxlokk FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
21%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pembroke Athleta FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
QOR
0 - 4
PAT
15%
21%
64%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
PAT
1 - 0
MAR
57%
24%
20%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
NAX
0 - 3
PAT
38%
25%
37%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
PIE
3 - 3
PAT
30%
25%
45%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
PAT
1 - 1
MAR
49%
24%
27%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Marsaxlokk FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
MAR
6 - 0
MQA
62%
20%
18%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
PAT
1 - 0
MAR
57%
24%
20%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
ZEB
2 - 2
MAR
43%
27%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
SAI
1 - 1
MAR
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
MAR
3 - 0
VIC
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | +1 |