Pelotas vs Novo Hamburgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
34.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2020 |
PEL
0 - 1
ESP
47%
27%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
SJO
1 - 0
PEL
30%
24%
46%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
PEL
2 - 0
SJO
49%
23%
28%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
PEL
1 - 1
CAX
40%
27%
33%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CAX
0 - 1
PEL
51%
26%
23%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 0
CAX
42%
26%
32%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
SJO
2 - 2
NOV
21%
22%
57%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
NOV
0 - 1
SJO
65%
20%
16%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
NOV
5 - 0
NOV
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
NOV
0 - 2
IPA
58%
22%
21%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |