Pelotas vs CA Tubarão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
TUB
0 - 0
PEL
38%
26%
35%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
PEL
3 - 1
SAO
23%
28%
49%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
SLU
0 - 0
PEL
55%
25%
21%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
PEL
1 - 0
JEC
35%
27%
39%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
PEL
1 - 2
CAX
25%
30%
46%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
CA Tubarão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
TUB
0 - 0
PEL
38%
26%
35%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
JEC
6 - 1
TUB
56%
24%
20%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
TUB
0 - 1
MAR
34%
27%
39%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
TUB
3 - 0
SAO
22%
27%
51%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | +3 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 0
TUB
72%
18%
9%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | -1 |