Pego vs Recambios Colón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
31.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
PEG
2 - 1
CDT
38%
26%
37%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
BEN
1 - 1
PEG
56%
22%
22%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
PEG
0 - 2
JAV
44%
25%
31%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
UDC
3 - 1
PEG
31%
26%
44%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
PEG
2 - 0
CAS
46%
24%
30%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Recambios Colón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
ALB
1 - 0
REC
56%
23%
21%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
REC
1 - 0
CAN
26%
24%
50%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
ONT
1 - 4
REC
18%
22%
61%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
REC
0 - 1
CUL
35%
25%
39%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ALD
0 - 4
REC
24%
23%
52%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |