Pego vs Polop analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
42.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
XER
0 - 2
PEG
45%
24%
31%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
PEG
4 - 1
NUC
16%
23%
61%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +2 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
IND
3 - 1
PEG
81%
13%
6%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
PEG
2 - 0
PED
24%
23%
54%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
PEG
0 - 2
POR
39%
25%
36%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Polop
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
POL
1 - 1
ALF
34%
23%
43%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
POL
2 - 0
ALC
51%
21%
28%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
MUT
0 - 3
POL
39%
24%
37%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
POL
2 - 0
ALT
75%
15%
10%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
ATL
2 - 2
POL
17%
19%
64%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | -1 |