PEC Zwolle Sub 21 vs Willem II Sub 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
6.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
4º
1º
10
3º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
33 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 16 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 11 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
10 | 10 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PEC Zwolle Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ADO
1 - 2
PEC
32%
23%
45%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ACY
0 - 3
PEC
29%
22%
50%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PEC
6 - 2
GRA
58%
20%
22%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FYN
2 - 4
PEC
53%
22%
26%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
GRO
0 - 0
PEC
52%
22%
26%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
WIL
0 - 0
ACY
30%
22%
48%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FYN
6 - 0
WIL
79%
14%
8%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
WIL
1 - 4
GRO
18%
21%
61%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ADO
1 - 2
WIL
69%
17%
14%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
EMM
2 - 2
WIL
64%
18%
18%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |