PEC Zwolle U21 vs Willem II U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.2%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
6.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+98%
+84%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
4º
1º
10
3º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
33 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 16 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 11 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
10 | 10 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PEC Zwolle U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ADO
1 - 2
PEC
32%
23%
45%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ACY
0 - 3
PEC
29%
22%
50%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PEC
6 - 2
GRA
58%
20%
22%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FYN
2 - 4
PEC
53%
22%
26%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
GRO
0 - 0
PEC
52%
22%
26%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
WIL
0 - 0
ACY
30%
22%
48%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FYN
6 - 0
WIL
79%
14%
8%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
WIL
1 - 4
GRO
18%
21%
61%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ADO
1 - 2
WIL
69%
17%
14%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
EMM
2 - 2
WIL
64%
18%
18%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |