Peña Compadres vs CD Tolox analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
91.8%
Win probability
3.93
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.5%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
<0%
+8
2%
7-0
3.1%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.1%
+7
4.1%
6-0
5.5%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.6%
5-0
8.3%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
12.3%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
5.6%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
5.6%
2.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+120%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Compadres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CES
2 - 3
PEN
5%
9%
86%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
PEN
3 - 0
CDM
90%
7%
3%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
PEN
2 - 1
EST
56%
19%
26%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
UDE
0 - 4
PEN
6%
10%
84%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 2
PEN
9%
14%
77%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CD Tolox
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
TOL
2 - 1
GUA
38%
21%
42%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
MLL
6 - 0
TOL
70%
16%
14%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
CAN
2 - 0
TOL
40%
21%
39%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
JTB
4 - 0
TOL
83%
11%
7%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
TOL
3 - 1
OSO
49%
20%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |