Montespaccato vs Tiferno Lerchi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
28%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montespaccato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
ACS
0 - 0
MON
36%
25%
40%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
RIE
0 - 1
MON
40%
23%
37%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
ARZ
33%
23%
44%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
GAV
2 - 1
MON
63%
22%
15%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2022 |
UNV
3 - 2
MON
17%
20%
63%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Tiferno Lerchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
TIF
1 - 0
UNV
74%
15%
11%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 1
TIF
61%
23%
16%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
TIF
4 - 4
FLA
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 1
TIF
61%
20%
19%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
SCA
1 - 2
TIF
52%
22%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |