Montespaccato vs Foligno Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
16%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montespaccato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
MON
0 - 1
TIF
50%
22%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
ACS
0 - 0
MON
36%
25%
40%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
RIE
0 - 1
MON
40%
23%
37%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
ARZ
33%
23%
44%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
GAV
2 - 1
MON
63%
22%
15%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
FOL
0 - 4
ARZ
22%
23%
55%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
FOL
1 - 3
GAV
21%
23%
57%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
UNV
2 - 2
FOL
28%
22%
50%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
ASD
1 - 2
FOL
32%
23%
45%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
FOL
2 - 2
RIE
54%
23%
23%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |