Paysandu vs Tuna Luso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
9.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
IND
2 - 3
PAY
23%
22%
56%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
PAY
4 - 2
CAS
77%
15%
8%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
PAY
2 - 3
SAL
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
SAL
1 - 1
PAY
23%
25%
52%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
RIO
3 - 1
PAY
48%
23%
29%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Tuna Luso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
TUN
0 - 0
CAS
54%
22%
24%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
AGU
1 - 1
TUN
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
TUN
1 - 5
PAY
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
REM
2 - 2
TUN
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
TUN
1 - 0
ANA
43%
25%
33%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |