Paysandu vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
31.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
PAY
6 - 0
PEN
76%
17%
8%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
ITU
3 - 1
PAY
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
PAY
0 - 0
BOT
47%
29%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CRI
0 - 0
PAY
44%
28%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
PAY
2 - 0
MAN
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
ITU
3 - 1
PAY
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
ITU
0 - 2
CRI
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
BOT
0 - 1
ITU
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ITU
0 - 0
BOT
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
YPI
0 - 0
ITU
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |