Paraense Inicial PLAY OFFS. Quarter-finals
Global 1-0
Paysandu vs Bragantino PA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
10.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
BPA
0 - 0
PAY
14%
19%
67%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
PAY
1 - 0
AGU
81%
14%
5%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
PAY
2 - 0
TUN
34%
22%
44%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
IAC
0 - 1
PAY
30%
24%
47%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
TAP
0 - 1
PAY
13%
19%
68%
|
56 | 30 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Bragantino PA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
BPA
0 - 0
PAY
14%
19%
67%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
TUN
5 - 3
BPA
74%
16%
10%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
BPA
2 - 2
TAP
61%
20%
19%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
BPA
4 - 4
PAR
38%
24%
38%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
BPA
38%
24%
38%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |