Pau FC vs Chateauroux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pau FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
PAU
2 - 0
LHA
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
NIO
2 - 1
PAU
37%
28%
35%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
PAU
1 - 1
PFC
40%
28%
32%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
ASN
1 - 0
PAU
46%
27%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
PAU
2 - 0
AMI
29%
28%
43%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Chateauroux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 4
ASN
36%
27%
37%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
PFC
1 - 0
CHA
57%
25%
18%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 1
LHA
31%
27%
42%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
NIO
1 - 1
CHA
46%
27%
27%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
CHA
4 - 0
CHA
35%
27%
37%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |