Patronato vs Instituto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
40.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 0
PAT
41%
29%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
PAT
2 - 0
GLP
35%
29%
36%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
DYJ
1 - 1
PAT
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2012 |
PAT
2 - 3
DES
61%
23%
17%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2012 |
PAT
0 - 0
CHA
54%
26%
21%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
INS
3 - 0
CEN
38%
29%
33%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2012 |
ATT
0 - 4
INS
40%
28%
32%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2012 |
INS
3 - 1
ALD
44%
29%
28%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
HUR
0 - 0
INS
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
FER
0 - 0
INS
29%
29%
42%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |