Patronato vs Douglas Haig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
26.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
ALB
1 - 1
PAT
53%
28%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
PAT
1 - 3
CAU
32%
28%
40%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CDN
3 - 0
PAT
47%
30%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2014 |
PAT
1 - 2
RSA
53%
27%
21%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ATT
0 - 0
PAT
55%
26%
19%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Douglas Haig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
DHA
0 - 1
JUV
67%
22%
11%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ARG
1 - 1
DHA
51%
28%
22%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
DHA
1 - 0
COL
28%
30%
43%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2014 |
GAF
3 - 1
DHA
33%
28%
39%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2014 |
DHA
0 - 0
ALD
38%
29%
34%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |