Patronato vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
64.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
VEL
1 - 0
PAT
71%
19%
10%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
PAT
1 - 0
SAR
43%
25%
32%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
NOB
2 - 0
PAT
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
PAT
4 - 1
GLP
28%
27%
45%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
PAT
2 - 2
LAN
16%
21%
63%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2021 |
BSC
1 - 0
BOC
24%
26%
50%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
BOC
1 - 0
LAN
60%
22%
18%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
BOC
2 - 0
SAN
58%
23%
19%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
HUR
0 - 2
BOC
14%
24%
62%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
STR
0 - 1
BOC
22%
24%
54%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |