Patrocinense vs Rio Branco-VN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
49.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patrocinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
CRZ
4 - 0
PAT
78%
16%
6%
|
46 | 76 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
PAT
0 - 1
URT
43%
27%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
PAT
1 - 1
POA
33%
25%
43%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
AMF
1 - 1
PAT
84%
12%
4%
|
47 | 77 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
UBE
1 - 0
PAT
49%
25%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Branco-VN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
RVV
1 - 1
REA
55%
21%
24%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2021 |
REA
0 - 0
RVV
24%
22%
54%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
RVV
3 - 0
RIO
57%
21%
22%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
RIO
0 - 0
RVV
24%
21%
55%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
RVV
2 - 0
DES
66%
19%
15%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |