Patriotas Boyacá vs Águilas Doradas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
44.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patriotas Boyacá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CAL
3 - 0
PAT
70%
20%
10%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2012 |
PAT
1 - 1
CAR
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2012 |
ONC
1 - 1
PAT
75%
17%
8%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
PAT
0 - 3
NAC
20%
24%
56%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
EQU
2 - 1
PAT
62%
23%
15%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Águilas Doradas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
AGU
1 - 1
ENV
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
PAS
1 - 1
AGU
48%
27%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
AGU
4 - 0
QUI
55%
25%
21%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
IND
0 - 1
AGU
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
AGU
0 - 0
CUC
64%
22%
14%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |