Copa Colombia . Last 16
Global 3-2
Patriotas Boyacá vs Envigado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
23.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patriotas Boyacá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
PAT
0 - 0
HUI
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
ENV
0 - 1
PAT
43%
28%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
EQU
1 - 1
PAT
36%
30%
35%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
PAT
4 - 1
COR
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
ENV
0 - 0
PAT
44%
28%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
ALI
1 - 0
ENV
35%
29%
36%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
ENV
0 - 1
PAT
43%
28%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
ENV
1 - 1
PAS
41%
28%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2016 |
SFE
2 - 0
ENV
54%
26%
20%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
ENV
0 - 0
PAT
44%
28%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |