Paternò vs Rende analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paternò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
LIC
1 - 0
PAT
39%
25%
36%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
LUC
1 - 1
PAT
34%
24%
42%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
PAT
1 - 0
DAT
67%
17%
16%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
PAT
0 - 2
SMC
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
PAT
1 - 2
USC
72%
17%
11%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Rende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
REN
0 - 1
CIT
37%
29%
35%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
USC
3 - 1
REN
35%
25%
40%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
REN
1 - 1
ROT
65%
20%
16%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
REN
0 - 4
CCI
60%
22%
18%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
GEL
0 - 0
REN
28%
25%
48%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |