Paternò vs Licata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
32.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paternò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
DAT
3 - 1
PAT
47%
22%
31%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
USC
0 - 1
PAT
36%
24%
40%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
PAT
0 - 1
ROC
73%
16%
11%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
PAT
1 - 3
GEL
52%
24%
24%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
CIT
1 - 0
PAT
47%
25%
28%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Licata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
LIC
0 - 1
BIA
69%
17%
13%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
ROC
1 - 2
LIC
24%
23%
53%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
LIC
3 - 0
MDR
73%
16%
11%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
LIC
2 - 1
USC
55%
21%
24%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
CSA
0 - 1
LIC
34%
23%
43%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |