Paternò vs Santa Maria Cilento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
35.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paternò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
ASD
1 - 1
PAT
23%
23%
55%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
PAT
1 - 3
REN
65%
19%
16%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 1
PAT
27%
23%
50%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
CIT
0 - 5
PAT
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
PAT
1 - 1
TRA
14%
22%
65%
|
35 | 59 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Maria Cilento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
SMC
3 - 4
CAV
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
LAT
2 - 1
SMC
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
SMC
0 - 0
RAA
75%
15%
10%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
BIA
0 - 0
SMC
16%
20%
64%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
SMC
0 - 0
GEL
45%
26%
29%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |