Partick Thistle vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
18.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
7º
4º
34
4º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
50% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
76% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Partick Thistle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
HAM
2 - 2
PAR
27%
26%
47%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 1
AYR
46%
26%
29%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
PAR
4 - 0
QUE
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
COV
0 - 5
PAR
30%
25%
45%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
ICT
1 - 0
PAR
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ARB
0 - 1
COV
54%
24%
23%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
RAI
1 - 1
ARB
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
ICT
2 - 0
ARB
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
ARB
0 - 0
DUN
25%
28%
47%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
ARB
2 - 0
AYR
31%
26%
43%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |