Parramatta Power vs Marconi Stallions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parramatta Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
MEL
0 - 4
PAP
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2003 |
PAP
1 - 1
ADE
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
SYD
1 - 2
PAP
58%
23%
20%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2002 |
PER
2 - 1
PAP
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
PAP
1 - 0
SOU
43%
24%
33%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Marconi Stallions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2003 |
MAR
0 - 1
SFC
57%
23%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2003 |
MAR
4 - 1
MEL
45%
24%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2003 |
ADE
3 - 0
MAR
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2002 |
SOU
2 - 4
MAR
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2002 |
MAR
0 - 3
SYD
38%
25%
37%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |