Vaprus Pärnu vs Warrior Valga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
46.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
-89%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
RAK
2 - 0
PAR
36%
22%
42%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2009 |
PAR
4 - 1
LOT
27%
24%
49%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
TJK
2 - 1
PAR
61%
20%
19%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
PAR
3 - 3
TUL
72%
16%
12%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
FLO
4 - 2
PAR
52%
22%
26%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Warrior Valga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
WAR
4 - 3
KIV
65%
19%
16%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2009 |
AJA
0 - 2
WAR
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
WAR
0 - 2
LEV
23%
23%
54%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
FLO
0 - 1
WAR
38%
25%
37%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
WAR
4 - 1
RAK
79%
14%
8%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |