Vaprus Pärnu vs Warrior Valga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
6.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
PAR
0 - 0
AJA
58%
21%
21%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
TUL
1 - 2
PAR
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2006 |
PAR
1 - 1
TAM
48%
24%
29%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2006 |
TRA
6 - 3
PAR
80%
13%
7%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2006 |
PAR
2 - 4
FLO
16%
19%
65%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Warrior Valga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
WAR
0 - 3
TRA
12%
19%
69%
|
37 | 70 | 33 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
AJA
1 - 2
WAR
77%
14%
8%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2006 |
WAR
0 - 5
FLO
9%
16%
76%
|
37 | 73 | 36 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2006 |
TUL
1 - 0
WAR
72%
18%
10%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2006 |
WAR
0 - 2
TAR
25%
24%
51%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |