Vaprus Pärnu vs TJK Legion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.2%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.5%
6.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
FCE
3 - 3
PAR
20%
21%
59%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
TDU
1 - 1
PAR
13%
18%
69%
|
52 | 24 | 28 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 3
NOM
63%
19%
18%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
PAR
5 - 3
EMM
57%
21%
22%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
EMM
0 - 2
PAR
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
TJK Legion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
TJK
0 - 1
JKJ
78%
14%
9%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
TJK
3 - 1
FCE
46%
23%
31%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
FCA
5 - 0
TJK
65%
19%
16%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2013 |
TJK
1 - 0
FLO
77%
14%
10%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
FLO
3 - 1
TJK
19%
19%
62%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | -2 |