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Meistriliiga. Matchday 6

Vaprus Pärnu Tammeka
25 ELO 26
57% Tilt 158%
3810º General ELO ranking 5080º
15º Country ELO ranking 26º
ELO win probability
32.7%
Vaprus Pärnu
18.2%
Draw
49%
Tammeka

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
Vaprus Pärnu
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.3%
7-5
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
5%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
2.4%
5-4
0.7%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
14.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
4.3%
4-4
1.6%
5-5
0.4%
6-6
0.1%
0
18.2%
49%
Win probability
Tammeka
2.67
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
6%
2-3
5.9%
3-4
2.9%
4-5
0.8%
5-6
0.2%
6-7
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
3.9%
3-5
1.5%
4-6
0.4%
5-7
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
2.1%
3-6
0.7%
4-7
0.1%
5-8
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.3%
4-8
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0.1%
4-9
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Basic stats

1
2
GF
2
1
GC
25
26
ELO
2.2
2.7
EXP
Key
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Vaprus Pärnu
Their league position
Tammeka
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
0
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
FC Flora Tallin
3
53
36%
Paide
1
35
10%
TJK Legion
1
22
9%
Kuressaare
0
15
10º
11%
Levadia
0
49
3%
Nomme Kalju
0
26
12%
Tammeka
0
33
10%
Trans
0
19
12%
Tulevik Viljandi
0
23
12%
Vaprus Pärnu
10º
0
44
3%
Expected probabilities
Vaprus Pärnu
Tammeka
Champion
22% 9%
Europa Conference League
25% 10%
Mid-table
46% 62%
Relegation playoffs
4% 10%
Relegation
3% 10%

ELO progression

Tammeka
TAM
Vaprus Pärnu
PAR
Tulevik Viljandi
TUL
Nomme Kalju
KAL
Levadia
LEV
FC Flora Tallin
FLO
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vaprus Pärnu
Vaprus Pärnu
1%
X%
2%
ELO PAR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Mar. 2021
TRA
Trans
1 - 1
Vaprus Pärnu
PAR
56%
25%
20%
329 648 319 +1
13 Mar. 2021
LEV
Levadia
5 - 0
Vaprus Pärnu
PAR
33%
27%
40%
978 320 -658 +9
06 Mar. 2021
TAL
Tallinna Kalev
2 - 0
Vaprus Pärnu
PAR
44%
27%
29%
358 267 -91 -39
13 Jun. 2021
FLO
FC Flora Tallin
2 - 0
Vaprus Pärnu
PAR
58%
23%
19%
390 975 585 0
27 Feb. 2021
PAR
Vaprus Pärnu
1 - 7
Saku Sporting
SSP
49%
26%
25%
383 271 112 -58

Matches

Tammeka
Tammeka
1%
X%
2%
ELO TAM ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Mar. 2021
KUR
Kuressaare
1 - 3
Tammeka
TAM
47%
27%
26%
324 404 80 +5
21 Jun. 2021
TAM
Tammeka
0 - 3
FC Flora Tallin
FLO
33%
27%
40%
324 970 -646 0
09 Mar. 2021
FLO
FC Flora Tallin
2 - 1
Tammeka
TAM
61%
22%
17%
326 969 643 -1
20 Feb. 2021
TAM
Tammeka
0 - 2
FC Flora Tallin
FLO
30%
27%
44%
278 1089 -811 -18
13 Feb. 2021
KAL
Nomme Kalju
5 - 0
Tammeka
TAM
58%
23%
19%
306 894 588 -28