Vaprus Pärnu vs Rakvere JK Tarvas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
19.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2019 |
PAR
5 - 1
WEL
75%
15%
11%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
FLO
0 - 0
PAR
85%
10%
5%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
PAR
3 - 1
TKA
33%
23%
44%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
FCE
3 - 2
PAR
62%
20%
18%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
PAR
4 - 1
TAM
21%
20%
60%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +4 |
Matches
Rakvere JK Tarvas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2019 |
RAK
0 - 2
FLO
19%
24%
58%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
WEL
1 - 1
RAK
29%
24%
48%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
RAK
3 - 2
JKJ
25%
25%
50%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
RAK
0 - 3
TJK
15%
19%
66%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2019 |
FLO
8 - 0
RAK
88%
8%
3%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | -1 |