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Meistriliiga. Matchday 20

Vaprus Pärnu vs Paide analysis

Vaprus Pärnu Paide
24 ELO 44
20% Tilt 82%
5510º General ELO ranking 2623º
19º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
22%
Vaprus Pärnu
19.5%
Draw
58.6%
Paide

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
Vaprus Pärnu
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
58.6%
Win probability
Paide
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vaprus Pärnu
+12%
+48%
Paide

Basic stats

46
54
POS
6
22
SOT
3
10
COR
1
1
GF
1
1
GC
12
10
FRK
24
44
ELO
1.4
2.3
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Vaprus Pärnu
Their league position
Paide
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
10º
10º
53
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Levadia
67
86
50%
FC Flora Tallin
57
84
54%
Paide
53
68
69%
Nomme Kalju
43
59
54%
TJK Legion
38
51
53%
Trans
29
40
30%
Kuressaare
27
34
27%
Tulevik Viljandi
27
38
25%
Tammeka
19
27
38%
Vaprus Pärnu
10º
15
25
10º
60%
Expected probabilities
Vaprus Pärnu
Paide
Champion
0% 0%
Europa Conference League
0% 0%
Mid-table
9% 100%
Relegation playoffs
31% 0%
Relegation
60% 0%

ELO progression

Paide
PAI
Vaprus Pärnu
PAR
Tulevik Viljandi
TUL
TJK Legion
TJK
Nomme Kalju
KAL
Läänemaa Haapsalu
LAH
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vaprus Pärnu
Vaprus Pärnu
1%
X%
2%
ELO PAR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Aug. 2021
TJK
TJK Legion
2 - 1
Vaprus Pärnu
PAR
51%
25%
24%
309 565 256 -3
30 Jul. 2021
PAR
Vaprus Pärnu
2 - 1
Kuressaare
KUR
42%
28%
30%
306 393 -87 +3
16 Jul. 2021
PAR
Vaprus Pärnu
0 - 4
FC Flora Tallin
FLO
28%
26%
46%
308 1170 -862 -3
09 Jul. 2021
VJK
Viimsi JK
3 - 1
Vaprus Pärnu
PAR
47%
27%
26%
313 339 26 -4
04 Jul. 2021
PAR
Vaprus Pärnu
2 - 1
Trans
TRA
37%
28%
35%
300 637 -337 +4

Matches

Paide
Paide
1%
X%
2%
ELO PAI ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Aug. 2021
PAI
Paide
3 - 1
Tulevik Viljandi
TUL
52%
26%
22%
730 444 286 +4
31 Jul. 2021
PAI
Paide
0 - 0
FC Flora Tallin
FLO
37%
28%
35%
729 1144 -415 +1
18 Jul. 2021
PAI
Paide
1 - 1
Tammeka
TAM
57%
23%
20%
730 250 480 -1
30 Jun. 2021
FLO
FC Flora Tallin
3 - 3
Paide
PAI
58%
24%
19%
729 1124 395 +1
25 Jun. 2021
TAM
Tammeka
0 - 2
Paide
PAI
36%
27%
37%
726 255 -471 +3