Vaprus Pärnu vs Paide analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
70.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
TUL
2 - 1
PAR
76%
14%
9%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
TAM
4 - 2
PAR
83%
12%
6%
|
28 | 54 | 26 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 1
KUR
18%
20%
63%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 5
LEV
4%
13%
84%
|
30 | 82 | 52 | -3 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
TAL
4 - 2
PAR
80%
13%
7%
|
30 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Paide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
PAI
0 - 2
FLO
17%
19%
64%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
PAI
1 - 3
LEV
18%
21%
61%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
TAL
2 - 3
PAI
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
PAI
3 - 1
KUR
71%
16%
13%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2018 |
TAM
5 - 2
PAI
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |